FRED Texas Measles Simulator

FRED (A Framework for Reconstructing Epidemiological Dynamics) is an agent-based modeling system for exploring the spatial and temporal patterns of epidemics. In this application for the State of Texas, we used actual school vaccination data to realistically represent the infection risks by individual school. The model demonstrates the likely outcomes if a single student with measles attends school in a given county or metropolitan area, and we show the median number of measles cases that would be expected to occur. We also show how these number would change if the vaccination rate in those schools decreased.

Measles by Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) and County


Texas school vaccination coverage levels data retrieved from the Texas Department of State Health Services in collaboration with the Texas Pediatric Society, The Texas Chapter of the American Academy of Pediatrics.